东乌珠穆沁旗牧户草地流转中的转入行为
English
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参考文献
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表 1 牧户及家庭基本特征
Table 1 Basic characteristics of the herdsmen and families
类型
Type项目
Item人数
Number占比
Proportion/%户主的性别
Gender of the
head of
household男 Male 210 92.92 女 Female 16 7.08 户主的学历
Education of
the household
head小学
Elementary school69 30.53 初中
Junior high school83 36.73 高中 High school 56 24.78 大专及以上
College degree or above18 7.94 家庭成员数
Number
of family
members2～4 174 77.00 5～7 52 23.00 家庭性质
Family
nature纯牧业户
Pure herding households163 72.12 兼业户
Part-time households49 21.68 非牧业户
Non-pastoral households14 6.19 牲畜头数
Number of
heads of
livestock400头以下
Less than 400 heads128 56.64 400～700头
400～700 heads83 36.73 700～1 000头
700～1 000 heads10 4.42 1 000头以上
More than 1 000 heads5 2.21 
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表 2 模型各解释变量的赋值及其分布情况
Table 2 The assignment and distribution of each explanatory variable in the model
牧户特征
Characteristics of
pastoral households变量名称
Variable name变量赋值及说明
Variable assignment
and description均值
Mean方差
Variance个人特征
Characteristics
of the herdsmen性别(男)
Gender (male)是 = 1；否 = 0
Yes = 1; No = 00.93 0.07 受教育程度
Educational attainment小学 = 1；初中 = 2；高中 = 3；大专及以上 = 4
Elementary school = 1; Junior high school = 2; High school = 3;
College degree or above = 42.10 0.87 年龄 Age 18～30岁 = 1；31～40岁 = 2；41～50岁 = 3；51岁及其以上 = 4
18～30 years old = 1; 31～40 years old = 2; 41～50 years old = 3;
51 years old and above = 42.51 0.43 家庭特征
Family
characteristics家庭成员数
Number of family members连续变量
Continuous variables3.77 1.18 是否兼业户
Whether a part-time household是 = 1；否 = 0
Yes = 1; No = 00.28 0.20 家庭年收入
Annual household income10万～25万 = 1；25万～40万 = 2；40万～55万 = 3；
55万～70万 = 4；70万及其以上 = 5
10～25 million = 1; 25～40 million = 2; 40～55 million = 3;
55～70 million = 4; 70 million and above = 51.62 0.79 牲畜收入所占比重
Proportion of livestock income家庭总收入中牲畜收入占比，连续变量
Proportion of livestock income in total household
income, continuous variables0.67 0.03 资源特征
Resource
characteristics家庭劳动力数量
Number of household laborers连续变量
Continuous variables3.38 0.95 承包草地面积
Contracted grassland area连续变量
Continuous variables384.81 27 149.21 农牧业机械数量
Pieces of agricultural and
animal husbandry machinery拖拉机 + 打草机 + 捆草机 + 卡车 + 铲车 + 皮卡 +
摩托车 + 拉水车，连续变量
Tractor + grass trimmer + bundle of grass machine +
truck + forklift + pickup truck + the motorcycle +
water truck, continuous variables0.97 1.16 牲畜养殖结构
Livestock breeding structure牛 + 羊 + 马，连续变量
Cow + sheep + horse, continuous variables1.81 0.44 牧户草地特征
Grassland
characteristics
of herdsmen草地片数
Number of grassland blocks连续变量
Continuous variables2.36 0.55 草地生态状况
Ecological status of grasslands好 = 1；一般 = 2；差 = 3
Good = 1; Average = 2; Poor = 32.13 0.27 水源是否充足
Whether the water source is sufficient是 = 1；否 = 0
Yes = 1; No = 00.65 0.23 草地载畜量
Livestock capacity of grassland每公顷草地上能够养殖的羊单位数，连续变量
The number of sheep units that can be raised per hectare
of grassland, Continuous variables206.1 17.4 自然灾害数
Number of natural disasters虫灾 + 雹灾 + 雪灾 + 旱灾，连续变量
Pests + hailstorm + snow + drought，continuous variables1.93 0.32
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表 3 牧户草地转入行为特征
Table 3 Pastoral grassland turn behavioral characteristics
类型
Type样本数据
Sample data数量
Quantity占比
Proportion/%牧户数
Number of herdsmen转出草地牧户 Turn out of the meadow herdsmen 58 25.66 转入草地牧户 Transfer to grassland herdsmen 168 74.34 草地流转面积
Area of grassland circulation/hm2转出草地面积 Turn out the grass area 14 886.55 17.71 转入草地面积 Conversion to grassland area 69 178.07 82.29 不同流转方式的草地流转面积
Grassland circulation area with
different circulation methods/hm2出租 Hire 8 096.73 9.63 转包 Subcontract 63 781.55 75.87 入股 Become a shareholder 12 186.34 14.50 不同流转模式的草地流转面积
Grassland circulation area with different
circulation patterns/hm2分散牧户流转模式 Decentralized pastoral circulation model 50 192.95 60.00 家庭牧场流转模式 Family ranch circulation model 20 445.33 24.00 合作社流转模式 Cooperative circulation model 13 426.34 16.00
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表 4 共线性检验结果
Table 4 Collinearity test results
变量
Variable容差
ToleranceVIF 户主性别(男) Head of household gender (male) 0.953 1.050 年龄 Age 0.414 2.415 受教育程度 Educational attainment 0.521 1.918 家庭成员数 Number of family members 0.148 6.772 是否兼业户 Whether part-time household 0.443 2.257 家庭年收入 Annual household income 0.182 5.502 牲畜收入比重 Share of livestock income 0.267 3.739 劳动力数量 Number of laborers 0.281 3.560 承包草地面积 Contracted grassland area 0.142 7.053 农牧业机械数量 Pieces of agricultural
and animal husbandry machinery0.853 1.172 牲畜养殖结构 Livestock breeding structure 0.814 1.229 草地片数 Number of grass patches 0.679 1.473 草地生态状况 Ecological status of grasslands 0.926 1.080 水源是否充足 Adequacy of water source 0.820 1.219 草地载畜量 Livestock capacity of grassland 0.526 1.902 自然灾害数 Number of natural disasters 0.795 1.258
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表 5 牧户草地转入行为的影响因素模型结果
Table 5 Results of the model of influencing factors of herder’s grassland transition behavior
自变量
Independent variableβ 标准误差
Standard error瓦尔德
Wald自由度
dfsig Exp (β) 户主性别(男) Head of household gender (male) 2.664 1.826 2.127 1 0.145 14.347 年龄 Age −4.011 1.690 5.634 1 0.018** 0.018 受教育程度 Educational attainment 0.908 1.356 0.449 1 0.503 2.480 家庭成员数 Number of family members 2.191 1.390 2.483 1 0.115 8.940 是否兼业户 Whether part-time household −2.107 1.614 1.704 1 0.192 0.122 家庭年收入 Annual household income 2.500 1.471 2.888 1 0.089* 12.178 牲畜收入所占比重 Share of livestock income 43.401 12.589 11.885 1 0.001*** 7.060 劳动力数量 Number of laborers 1.392 1.140 1.489 1 0.222 4.021 承包草地面积 Contracted grassland area −0.003 0.001 9.275 1 0.002*** 0.997 农牧业机械数量 Pieces of agricultural and animal husbandry machinery 1.282 0.718 3.192 1 0.074* 3.604 牲畜养殖结构 Livestock breeding structure 0.730 1.010 0.522 1 0.470 2.076 草地片数 Number of pasture films −1.262 0.851 2.201 1 0.138 0.283 草地生态状况 Ecological status of grasslands −0.871 1.078 0.652 1 0.419 0.419 水源是否充足 Adequate water source 0.590 1.325 0.198 1 0.656 1.804 草地载畜量 Livestock capacity of grassland 5.250 1.632 10.355 1 0.001*** 190.655 自然灾害数 Number of natural disasters −0.456 1.050 0.188 1 0.664 0.634 常量 Constant −85.565 28.837 8.804 1 0.003 0.000 ***、**和*分别表示在0.01、0.05和0.1的显著水平。
***, **, and * indicate significance at the 0.01, 0.05, and 0.1 levels, respectively.
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表 6 牧户草地转入规模的影响因素模型结果
Table 6 Results of the model of influencing factors of pastoral grassland transition scale
模型
Model未标准化系数
Coefficients are not standardized标准化系数
Normalized coefficientst Sig. β 标准误差
Standard errorBeta 常量 Constant 3.082 1.130 2.727 0.007 受教育程度 Educational attainment 1.180 0.296 0.275 3.984 0.000 牲畜养殖结构 Livestock breeding structure −1.838 0.454 −0.282 −4.052 0.000 水源是否充足 Adequate water source 1.605 0.551 0.204 2.913 0.004 农牧业机械数量 Pieces of agricultural
and animal husbandry machinery0.663 0.241 0.190 2.749 0.007
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